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	<title>Commodities &#8211; RFR</title>
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	<link>https://richesflores.com</link>
	<description>GLOBAL MACRO AND THEMATIC INDEPENDENT RESEARCH</description>
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	<title>Commodities &#8211; RFR</title>
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		<title>English summary &#8211; Commodities correction taking shape, market shake-up in view</title>
		<link>https://richesflores.com/2018/02/12/english-summary-commodities-correction-taking-shape-market-shake-up-in-view/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Véronique Riches-Flores]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Feb 2018 13:24:38 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Global Trends]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WEEKLY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Commodities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[financial markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inflation expectations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Interest Rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[oil]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://richesflores.com/?p=9409</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[This week’s figures from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) seem to...]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>OMB &#8211; All about inflation</title>
		<link>https://richesflores.com/2018/02/05/omb-all-about-inflation/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Véronique Riches-Flores]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Feb 2018 10:37:59 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[bonds markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Commodities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[european markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Exchange Rate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MSCI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[OMB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[reflation]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://richesflores.com/?p=9376</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Our activity indicator was stable at 0.1 in January, held back by...]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>Commodities</title>
		<link>https://richesflores.com/2014/04/30/commodities/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Véronique Riches-Flores]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 30 Apr 2014 15:04:55 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[GLOBAL MACRO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IN CHARTS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Commodities]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://richesflores.com/?p=3708</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[<b>Has the time come for commodity markets to increase again? </b><br/><br/>

After three years of stagnation, a growing number of investors have been tempted to think so in recent weeks. This renewed interest is hardly surprising given that equity markets are brimming with confidence in the belief that the global economic picture is gradually improving.

Our contrarian economic outlook is naturally quite skeptical of a recovery in global commodity prices. Despite geopolitical and weather-related stress, the international environment runs the risk of suffering a broad downturn amid rampant disinflation and ongoing growth disappointments. Against this backdrop, it would be gold that stands the most likely chance of increasing in value...assuming that long-term real interest rates weaken.<br/><br/>

&#160;

Contents<br/><br/>

   <b>1. Unusually stable prices since 2012 </b><br/>

   <b>2. Energy bills generally manageable... </b><br/>

   <b>3. ... thanks to falling consumption </b><br/>

   <b>4. Keeping an eye on agriculture... </b><br/>

   <b>5. Precious metals: end of QE could trigger a rise… </b><br/>]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>Global Inflation &#8211;  Disinflation Is Gaining Ground Across the Globe</title>
		<link>https://richesflores.com/2014/03/07/global-inflation-disinflation-is-gaining-ground-across-the-globe/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Véronique Riches-Flores]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 07 Mar 2014 08:00:04 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Emerging]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Euro zone]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IN CHARTS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Japan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Commodities]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://richesflores.com/?p=3093</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[At the global level, disinflation is gaining ground. After a temporary rebound during spring, global inflation continued its downtrend in the second half of 2013 and ended the year at 3.2%. Inflation remains very weak in the developed world, at 1.3% in December, and has also sagged in many emerging markets in recent months, to finish 2013 at 6.1%. <br/>

In fact, as of December 2013, nearly half the countries (39) in our sample of 80 countries had inflation rates of less than 2%, which is markedly higher than a year ago (24). T]]></description>
		
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>Global Inflation</title>
		<link>https://richesflores.com/2013/05/12/inflation-monitor/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Véronique Riches-Flores]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 12 May 2013 09:18:02 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Commodities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Emerging]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IN CHARTS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Developed countries]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[emerging countries]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gold]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monetary Policy]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://richesflores.com/?p=1542</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Recent disappointment with a sluggish economy has altered perceptions about the risk of inflation. Since the beginning of March, ten-year inflation expectations in the U.S. bond market have shed 30 basis points, the sharpest decline in the past year. At the same time, plummeting gold prices bear witness to growing doubts about the reflationary policies pursued by central banks. Moreover, current global trends suggest that this sentiment won’t be changing any time soon:
•	With inflation rates well below 2 percent and still receding, most industrialized countries are inching their way toward deflationary territory. High unemployment and low capacity utilization rates exert strong downward pressure on wages and producer prices, a trend accentuated by softer energy prices. 
•	The rising inflation observed in an increasing number of emerging economies is in fact limited to those with little global influence, primarily India, Russia, Brazil, and Argentina. Asia’s exporters of manufactured goods still show low inflation rates that are much closer to those in the advanced countries. 
All these developments should therefore encourage central banks the world over to go further with monetary easing
]]></description>
		
		
		
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